FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-2
Brentford vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 0
BRO
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
PLY
1 - 4
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 0
PNE
57%
24%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
BUR
1 - 2
BRE
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
YEL
1 - 3
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
HUR
1 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
MAC
1 - 1
CRY
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
MAC
0 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
OLD
2 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |