Brentford vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 2
BRE
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 1
SWI
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
COL
0 - 1
BRE
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRI
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
LUT
3 - 0
CHE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
LUT
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
LUT
2 - 3
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
PLY
2 - 1
LUT
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BPO
5 - 2
LUT
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |