EFL Trophy Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Brentford vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
EXE
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
POS
2 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
YEO
2 - 0
BRE
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
BOU
3 - 1
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
DAG
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
EXE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 1
MKD
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 2
BHA
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 0
EXE
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
EXE
5 - 1
SHW
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |