Brentford vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
BRE
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
5 - 2
WYC
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HUR
3 - 2
BRE
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 0
WAL
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 2
BRE
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 0
TRA
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 0
CUM
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CUM
4 - 1
LEY
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |