EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-3
Brentford vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
WYC
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 6
BRO
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
OXF
0 - 1
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
SWA
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
BRI
0 - 1
ROT
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
CAM
1 - 0
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BRI
1 - 2
STO
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
WRE
0 - 2
BRI
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |