Brentford vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRE
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
STO
3 - 2
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 3
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
GRI
0 - 0
BRE
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
30%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
HUR
2 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
BOL
4 - 2
EVE
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
BIR
0 - 2
BOL
54%
22%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
BOL
4 - 1
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |