Brentford vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1953 |
LUT
0 - 1
BRE
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 1
LUT
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 3
LEE
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
PLY
1 - 0
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
SWA
3 - 2
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1953 |
BIR
4 - 2
EVE
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
NTT
0 - 2
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1953 |
SOU
1 - 1
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
BIR
1 - 2
BBU
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
BIR
2 - 1
DON
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |