Brentford vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 0
BRE
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
MID
3 - 1
BRE
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
BRE
3 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
BRE
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
0 - 0
LIV
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
4 - 0
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1939 |
BIR
1 - 1
HUR
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |