Brentford vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
6 - 0
BOU
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SHW
0 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
STE
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRE
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
STA
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TON
2 - 3
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 5
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 3
FAR
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |