Brentford vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1947 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1947 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRE
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 3
BBU
55%
21%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 0
MID
34%
23%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
59%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1947 |
DER
0 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
ARS
5 - 3
GRI
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1947 |
CHA
2 - 2
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
ARS
4 - 0
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |