Bremer SV vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bremer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
HES
1 - 1
BRE
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 2
HES
14%
22%
65%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 3
MSV
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
SCF
4 - 2
BRE
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
BVB
7 - 0
BRE
93%
5%
2%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
STP
4 - 2
HES
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
ROT
4 - 0
STP
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
STP
0 - 0
ULM
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
DAR
4 - 2
STP
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
STP
5 - 1
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |