Bremer SV vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bremer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 3
STP
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
HES
1 - 1
BRE
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 2
HES
14%
22%
65%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 3
MSV
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
SCF
4 - 2
BRE
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1991 |
KÖL
1 - 1
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
HOM
3 - 2
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
KÖL
0 - 2
SVS
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
S04
2 - 1
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |