Breitenrain vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
YVE
0 - 1
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
BEL
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
BRE
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 2
FCZ
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 3
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CON
0 - 6
ZUR
5%
11%
84%
|
78 | 13 | 65 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ZUR
0 - 0
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
YOB
4 - 0
ZUR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |