Breitenrain vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCB
3 - 2
BRE
39%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DEL
2 - 1
BRE
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
ETO
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 4
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BIE
1 - 3
LUG
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KRI
0 - 1
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUG
4 - 0
SCB
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
LUG
51%
22%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |