Breitenfelde vs Henstedt-Ulzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WEI
1 - 0
BRE
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 4
HEI
27%
23%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
3 - 2
BRE
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
SYL
17%
20%
62%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NTS
2 - 3
BRE
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
HUL
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LUB
6 - 3
HUL
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HUL
1 - 1
SCH
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HUS
4 - 0
HUL
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HUL
1 - 2
KRO
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |