Bregalnica Štip vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
12º
37
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VOK
4 - 0
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 1
RAB
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
SHK
20%
27%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 1
BRE
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
VOK
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCS
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |