Bregalnica Štip vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
8º
6º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
BRE
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
POB
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
SHK
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
BRE
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAK
3 - 0
TIK
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 0
TIK
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 1
FCS
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 1
PEL
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |