Bregalnica Štip vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
8º
6º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
MAK
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
FCS
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AKP
1 - 2
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
BRE
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
POB
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 2
SHK
20%
28%
52%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
KFB
1 - 0
SHK
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
KFB
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 1
MAK
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |