Bregalnica Štip vs FK Pobeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
8º
6º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
SHK
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
BRE
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
FKS
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 3
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
3 - 0
POB
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 4
SIL
19%
28%
54%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
POB
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POB
0 - 2
RAB
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POB
2 - 1
FKB
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |