Bregalnica Štip vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
8º
6º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
SHK
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 0
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAK
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 0
TIK
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 2
POB
72%
20%
8%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
FCS
16%
27%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |