Brechin City vs Strathspey Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.1%
1.5%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+167%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
86
1º
6º
2º
10
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LOS
0 - 3
BRE
6%
14%
80%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 4
BRE
21%
22%
58%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 4
BAN
78%
14%
9%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
7 - 1
DEV
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
LOS
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
8 - 1
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
STR
0 - 7
ROT
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DEV
7 - 0
STR
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STR
0 - 2
FOR
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | -1 |