Brechin City vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 1
AYR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
EAS
2 - 1
BRE
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ALL
2 - 1
BRE
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
EDI
0 - 3
BRE
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 2
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
STM
0 - 0
MHE
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
STM
1 - 0
HAM
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
KIL
0 - 1
STM
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
STM
2 - 0
ICT
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FAL
1 - 2
STM
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |