Brechin City vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
83.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 4
DUN
7%
17%
76%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
STE
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 3
BLA
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
CWB
0 - 2
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARB
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
STJ
0 - 0
LIV
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 3
GLA
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 2
ABE
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
HIB
2 - 1
LIV
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |