Brechin City vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
86
1º
6º
2º
36
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 0
CLA
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 4
BRE
6%
15%
79%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 2
STI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 0
KEI
89%
9%
2%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 3
BRE
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
FRA
7%
13%
80%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
4 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 1
DEV
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |