Brechin City vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PET
4 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
4 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 2
DUN
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
CWB
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
STE
0 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 4
FOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PET
3 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
STR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |