Brechin City vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
EAS
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GLA
4 - 1
BRE
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
STR
4 - 3
BRE
41%
23%
36%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
PET
2 - 1
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 3
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 0
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
AIR
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
GLA
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
EAS
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |