Brechin City vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 2
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 6
BRE
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 2
BRA
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
7 - 2
STE
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 5
QOS
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
STE
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NAI
2 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 3
NAI
77%
14%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STR
4 - 1
FOR
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |