Brechin City vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ELG
3 - 1
BRE
28%
23%
49%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
AYR
3 - 2
BRE
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 2
AYR
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ALL
3 - 2
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ELG
3 - 1
BRE
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ELG
2 - 0
BER
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUM
6 - 0
ELG
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ELG
0 - 2
THE
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 3
ELG
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |