Brechin City vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
STI
1 - 2
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 0
PET
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 2
DUN
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
DUN
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 5
QOS
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 0
PET
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
MHE
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 1
DUN
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 2
DUN
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |