Brechin City vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 2
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
QUE
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 1
COV
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
STE
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
QOS
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 1
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
DUM
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -2 |