Brechin City vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
QOS
1 - 0
BRE
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
STM
2 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 2
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 1
CEL
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 2
STE
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
ARB
81%
13%
5%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
ARB
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |