Brechin City vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
6 - 0
DUM
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
STJ
1 - 0
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
STJ
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 0
PET
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
ALL
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 3
EAS
50%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
4 - 0
ALL
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |