Brechin City vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 0
STE
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CLY
1 - 0
BRE
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 4
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 1
DUM
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
HIB
3 - 0
BRE
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
STE
1 - 0
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
STI
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CLY
0 - 1
ALL
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |