Scottish Championship Promotion Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Brechin City vs Airdrieonians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
STI
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CWB
4 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 3
CWB
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 0
EAS
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
STI
6 - 2
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
AIR
0 - 1
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
RAI
0 - 1
AIR
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
QOS
2 - 2
AIR
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
AYR
1 - 4
AIR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 1
ROS
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |