Brea vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EJE
1 - 1
CFB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CFB
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CFB
2 - 1
QUI
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TAU
2 - 2
CFB
8%
16%
76%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CFB
3 - 0
UDM
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
4 - 2
BEL
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CDP
49%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 0
ZAR
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
ZAR
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |