Brea vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CFB
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CUA
2 - 1
CFB
31%
24%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CFB
4 - 2
TAR
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SDB
0 - 2
CFB
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CFB
1 - 0
TER
12%
22%
67%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +5 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
ICF
0 - 2
DEP
4%
14%
82%
|
32 | 71 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ICF
1 - 1
BEL
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UFC
0 - 2
ICF
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ICF
0 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
ICF
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |