Brea vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CDS
1 - 3
CFB
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 2
CDU
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 2
CFB
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 0
UDC
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CDC
2 - 4
CFB
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
FUE
2 - 2
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CFV
3 - 0
FUE
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FUE
0 - 0
CFI
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
CAL
4 - 2
FUE
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CDB
1 - 1
FUE
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |