Bray Wanderers vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
8º
7º
69
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
BRW
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
BRW
1 - 4
USC
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GAL
6 - 0
BRW
70%
19%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BRW
1 - 0
ATH
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
COB
2 - 1
BRW
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 4
WAT
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 3
ATH
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 0
KEF
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 6 | 61 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
COB
1 - 3
WAT
9%
20%
71%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
7 - 1
FIN
73%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |