Premier League Promotion Playoffs Final
Global 2-4
Bray Wanderers vs Sporting Fingal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SFI
2 - 0
BRW
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
BRW
1 - 1
BOH
22%
28%
51%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
BRW
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SFI
4 - 2
BRW
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BRW
1 - 1
DUN
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SFI
2 - 0
BRW
67%
19%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 2
SFI
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SFI
2 - 3
ATH
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 4
SFI
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SFI
4 - 2
BRW
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |