Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
9º
5º
23
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 60 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
75.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 38 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 26 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
85% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
0 - 0
BRW
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LON
1 - 0
BRW
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BRW
5 - 0
TRE
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
BRW
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BRW
0 - 1
UCD
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 4
CAO
23%
27%
51%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
KEF
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
UCD
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 2
KEF
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 2
BOH
6%
12%
82%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | 0 |