Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
6º
34
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 79 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 55 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 40 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
51.5% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
COB
2 - 1
BRW
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 1
TRE
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
BRW
36%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 0
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
TRE
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 2
CAO
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
COB
2 - 0
FIN
47%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
FIN
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |