Bray Wanderers vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
1 - 1
BRW
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
BRW
2 - 4
STP
15%
25%
60%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
BOH
2 - 1
BRW
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
BRW
2 - 0
UCD
48%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
CAO
1 - 1
BRW
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
ATH
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
DER
5 - 0
DRO
44%
24%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 2
DER
33%
24%
44%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
DUN
5 - 0
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
SLR
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |