Bray Wanderers vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
STP
0 - 1
BRW
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRW
1 - 1
DUN
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BOH
0 - 0
BRW
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SHR
0 - 0
BRW
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
BRW
2 - 3
SHE
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
DER
2 - 0
BOH
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
SHR
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
DER
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |