Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
4º
34
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 28 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
66% | 92% |
|
Mid-table
|
34% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
BRW
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 1
COB
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
BRW
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
BRW
0 - 3
STP
15%
21%
65%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
BRW
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
ATH
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
CAO
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
BRW
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |