Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
8º
7º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
COB
2 - 1
BRW
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
3 - 2
WEX
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 2
BRW
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 1
SHR
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 0
LON
32%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 3
GAL
21%
25%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
ATH
3%
8%
90%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 2
TRE
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
WAT
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 0
ATH
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |