Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
8º
7º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
COB
2 - 1
BRW
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
3 - 2
WEX
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 2
BRW
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 1
SHR
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 0
LON
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 3
GAL
21%
25%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
ATH
3%
8%
90%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 2
TRE
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
WAT
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 0
ATH
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |