BSC Acosta vs Fortuna Lebenstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSC Acosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
WOL
3 - 1
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BSC
4 - 1
SCW
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BSC
2 - 3
SCH
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLP
0 - 0
BSC
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BSC
1 - 3
TSH
53%
20%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Lebenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 2
SKA
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 2
FTB
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 1
SCW
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 0
SCH
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 0
OLP
40%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |