Brasiliense vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 4
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALA
53%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 2
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 4
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAM
14%
23%
63%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |