Brasiliense vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 2
GAM
29%
27%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
GAM
3 - 1
BRA
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
CAP
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 5
SER
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
EST
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |