Brasiliense vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 4
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
APA
62%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
NME
69%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 4
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
JAR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 3
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
46%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |