Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-2
Brasiliense vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
REM
1 - 2
BRA
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
ANA
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 0
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
REM
1 - 2
BRA
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 1
REM
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REM
3 - 2
RIV
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
REM
3 - 0
INT
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 4
REM
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |